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A couple of weeks ago a friend of mine, who cares deeply about Israel, told me that Israel is doomed, because of the birth rates of Arabs vs. Israelis who live in Israel, and the number of Arabs who are already living there. It was the first time I’d heard that, and I was very concerned.
It turns out that this is a myth, based on numbers provided by the Palestinian Authority. These numbers were accepted worldwide for many years, and have just been found on inspection to be inaccurate.
Last Saturday I went to a meeting at a private residence in L.A. where Bennett Zimmerman, a former Strategy Consultant with Bain & Company, and historian Dr. Roberta Seid, briefed the guests on the results of a study they have done on this. Physicist and mathematic modeling techniques expert, Dr. Michael L. Wise, who was not present at this meeting, also collaborated in the study.
Bennett and Roberta have already been invited to brief the Israeli President and Knesset on their analysis, which has caused a sensation in Israel. Their findings have been confirmed by leading American demographer, Nick Eberstadt:
The study was initially presented on January 10-11, 2005 at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and the Heritage Foundation in Washington, following a through examination by Washington, DC’s leading demographer, Nick Eberstadt of the AEI.
Here’s a summary of their findings:
The Bottom Line:
1. Today, the Palestinian-Arab population of the West Bank (1.4MN) and Gaza (1MN) totals 2.4 million, rather than the 3.8 million reported by the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS).
2. A solid Jewish majority of 60% has been sustained – between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean – since 1967. A solid 80% Jewish majority has been maintained within the “Green Line”.
3. Long-Term demographic trends re-entrench the Jewish majority.
The full report is available here. A book describing the findings of the study is to be published later this year.
